Germany’s social democrats appears to have pulled off a narrow win over the far-right the regional election in the state of Brandenburg. Polls ahead of the vote had the far-right Alternative for Germany ahead but preliminary results put the incumbent S-P-D — the party of chancellor Olaf Scholz — ahead by a narrow margin.
Let’s look at the results in detail: The latest projections put the center-left Social Democrats on 30.7%, while the far-right AfD gets 29.4% — that’s a gain of almost 6 points since 2019. The conservative CDU party is on 12.1%. The new leftist conservative Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance or BSW gets 13.4%. The Greens are on 4.2%. If the result stands, that means the Green party, which is currently part of Brandenburg’s coalition government — has dropped below the 5% threshold required to enter the state parliament.
Even with a second place finish, the AfD’s gains were significant, and they add to a good showing in two other regional elections this month. But for the social democrats, the result gives cause for cautious optimism. Still, their lead candidate, the incumbent State Premier Dietmar Woidke, warned that the threat of the far-right AfD remains a challenge.
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