U.S. and Iranian negotiators have begun high-level talks in Switzerland, with Vice President JD Vance in attendance, regarding a potential interim agreement aimed at ending the war in Iran. Nathalie Tocci, professor at Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies Europe, explains why a comprehensive deal within 60 days is unlikely, and what realistic progress might actually look like.
00:00 Iran threatens to close the Strait of Hormuz over Lebanon
00:51 US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding explained
01:13 How Israel, Iran, and the US are locked in triangular pressure
02:11 JD Vance addresses the Iranian people in Switzerland
03:01 Is Vance’s offer fundamentally different from Obama’s JCPOA?
05:09 What a realistic agreement would cover: uranium, inspections, and sanctions
06:24 The broader regional security order: Gulf, Saudi Arabia, and Iran-Israel relations
06:47 Is Israel deliberately sabotaging the US-Iran memorandum of understanding?
08:36 How much leverage does the US actually have over Israel?
09:37 What success in 60 days could realistically look like
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