The Trump campaign just dropped a meltdown reaction from the election night results. Love this energy.
The Trump campaign just dropped a meltdown reaction from the election night results.
Love this energy. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/NK3ejpSwH5
— johnny maga (@_johnnymaga) November 24, 2024
Listen to the convo on this excellent article. More clips and info is below
The original article at American Thinker: Presidential Polling Postmortem Winners and Losers, by Brian C. Joondeph
This briefing document analyzes the accuracy of pre-election polls in the 2024 Presidential election, as presented in Brian C. Joondeph’s article “Presidential Polling Postmortem Winners and Losers” published on American Thinker.
Main Themes:
- Widespread Inaccuracy: The article argues that most polls significantly underestimated Trump’s support and overestimated Harris’s chances. It highlights specific examples of polls with large discrepancies between predicted and actual results.
- Potential Bias: Joondeph suggests that some polling organizations may have intentionally skewed their results to favor Harris, potentially influencing voter turnout and constituting election interference.
- Methodology Concerns: The article points to potential methodological issues, such as oversampling Democrats, as contributing to the inaccurate predictions.
Key Findings:
- Trump won both the Electoral College (312-226) and the popular vote (49.9% to 48.3%).
- Rasmussen Reports and AtlasIntel were the most accurate polls, closely predicting Trump’s victory margin.
- Several polls, including Ipsos, NPR/PBS/Marist, and Morning Consult, showed Harris leading, contributing to a skewed RealClearPolitics average.
- State-level polls were particularly inaccurate, with significant discrepancies in New Jersey and Kansas.
- The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll was the most egregious, predicting a 7-point swing in Harris’s favor when Trump ultimately won Iowa by over 13 points.
Important Quotes:
- “These timely polls, shortly before the election, were spot on.” – Regarding Rasmussen Reports and AtlasIntel.
- “These polls all underestimated Trump’s popularity and ultimate election.” – Referring to polls showing Harris leading.
- “Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day.” – Quote from the inaccurate Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll.
- “In hindsight, most of these polls were bogus, deliberate misinformation to prop up Harris’s failing campaign and gin up Democrat voter enthusiasm. In other words, election interference.” – Joondeph’s claim of intentional manipulation.
- “USA Today reported, “Kamala Harris advisers: Internal polling never showed VP ahead.” Yet corporate media lied to the American public. And in their next breath, they claim, without a bit of irony, that Donald Trump is a “threat to democracy.” – Example of alleged media bias.
If you’re a Democrat outraged by the results of the 2024 election…
–
If you’re a Democrat outraged by the results of the 2024 election…
– pic.twitter.com/56xPqExirz— Tim Cramer (@CramerSez) November 27, 2024
Implications:
The article raises concerns about the reliability of pre-election polling and its potential to influence voter behavior. It calls into question the motives of some polling organizations and suggests a need for greater transparency and accountability in polling methodologies.
Note: This briefing doc presents the information and opinions expressed in the provided article. It does not necessarily reflect the actual accuracy of the 2024 election polls or confirm allegations of bias.
Leftist Nuts… created by the Marxist controlled media
Tiktoker admits she “lost her mind” over the election results and would run over a guy for wearing a Trump shirt. There sure is a lot of dangerous Liberals out there
Tiktoker admits she “lost her mind” over the election results and would run over a guy for wearing a Trump shirt. There sure is a lot of dangerous Liberals out there
Thoughts? pic.twitter.com/EbZkquWCoD
— JOSH DUNLAP (@JDunlap1974) November 26, 2024
More on the election results…
The Games still being played to hide what they did… Fulton Country Georgia is one of the most corrupt in America – much like Maricopa in Arizona.
JUST IN: Fulton County, Georgia is still trying to bury the true results for the 2020 election. Instead of turning over ALL election records to the GA State Elections Board, Fulton County sued to keep them hidden! This is just breathtaking lawlessness. Kyle Becker Tweet
Info from Left and Right
- Underestimation of Trump Support: The Atlantic noted that polls failed to capture the extent of Donald Trump’s appeal, particularly among working-class nonwhite voters, leading to unexpected election outcomes. The Atlantic
- Challenges in Polling Methodologies: Reuters highlighted persistent issues in accurately polling Trump’s base, suggesting that nonresponse bias and difficulties in reaching certain voter demographics contributed to underestimations of his support. Reuters
- Democratic Miscalculations: The Atlantic discussed the Democratic Party’s overreliance on demographic changes and institutional reforms, which did not translate into anticipated electoral advantages, as polls had suggested.
- Polling Failures and Elite Disconnect: The New York Post criticized elite institutions for ignoring data that favored Trump, leading to significant polling errors and a misreading of the electorate’s sentiments. New York Post
- Rise of Independent Voters: The New York Post emphasized that traditional polling models failed to account for the surge of independent voters who leaned towards Trump, highlighting a shift in voter behavior not captured by pre-election surveys.
- Media Bias in Polling: The New York Post argued that mainstream media’s exclusion of certain polls led to a skewed perception of the race, with RealClearPolitics’ aggregates providing a more accurate reflection of voter intentions.
